Bureau of Meteorology Seasonal Climate Outlook

Be prepared with the latest Seasonal Climate Outlook issued by the Bureau of Meteorology.

The February to April climate outlook, updated on 31 January, indicates much of western and southern Australia, and parts of the northeast, are likely to experience a drier than average three months from February through April 2019.

  • Days and nights are very likely to be warmer than average for most of Australia. This follows Australia's warmest December and what looks almost certain to be the warmest January on record.
  • The Pacific Ocean is currently at El Niño WATCH, meaning there is an elevated chance (50%) of El Niño developing during autumn 2019. El Niño's typically result in warmer and drier than usual conditions, and a later autumn break, for southern and eastern Australia. 
  • The Southern Ocean is likely to see higher pressures and weaker westerly winds, most noticeably during February, to the southwest of Australia. This may reduce rainfall across parts of southern Australia.